Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.259677 0.301411 0.349309 0.408706 0.480875 0.566348 0.676167
2025-08-10 0.194935 0.247494 0.314942 0.409374 0.540662 0.720577 0.992701
2025-08-17 0.158018 0.213682 0.291064 0.409641 0.592637 0.874872 1.365621
2025-08-24 0.133087 0.188784 0.271124 0.406649 0.634417 1.022714 1.786776
2025-08-31 0.114433 0.168630 0.252832 0.399841 0.665419 1.159595 2.247907
2025-09-07 0.103577 0.158082 0.246761 0.410496 0.727781 1.372155 2.967505
2025-09-14 0.091804 0.144027 0.232154 0.402375 0.751839 1.516059 3.612922
2025-09-21 0.083961 0.135251 0.224921 0.405971 0.799798 1.728986 4.573194
2025-09-28 0.076802 0.126605 0.216424 0.405085 0.837598 1.932744 5.657939
2025-10-05 0.072333 0.122100 0.214790 0.417732 0.909853 2.256159 7.419770
2025-10-12 0.068043 0.117341 0.211882 0.426934 0.976586 2.596267 9.600691
2025-10-19 0.064139 0.112813 0.208723 0.434871 1.042704 2.969056 12.385074
2025-10-26 0.060902 0.109295 0.207343 0.447321 1.127533 3.460052 16.555381
2025-11-02 0.057242 0.104540 0.202732 0.451144 1.189788 3.913893 21.397852
2025-11-09 0.053759 0.099757 0.197407 0.452129 1.244424 4.378441 27.393600
2025-11-16 0.050351 0.094767 0.190958 0.448906 1.284981 4.816181 34.397007
2025-11-23 0.047008 0.089580 0.183408 0.441261 1.308536 5.198325 42.154431
2025-11-30 0.045204 0.087509 0.182857 0.453286 1.407889 6.047083 58.637607
2025-12-07 0.042337 0.082836 0.175515 0.444127 1.424725 6.470164 71.740546
2025-12-14 0.040444 0.080156 0.172721 0.448183 1.496392 7.292125 96.597239
2025-12-21 0.038450 0.077064 0.168535 0.447185 1.547729 8.048001 126.699938
2025-12-28 0.037338 0.075889 0.169076 0.461456 1.672553 9.472582 189.892354
2026-01-04 0.036112 0.074335 0.168445 0.471847 1.785744 10.980833 282.682106